Tuesday, June 9, 2009

Thoughts on Little and Big news items from everywhere

Ambien CR Commercials:

Doesn’t everybody go to bed with lip gloss on? Particularly light sleepers and insomniacs? After all, who knows when they could get “lucky” and meet a strange Rooster?

Guantanamo POW Base

Guantanamo is our 100 year leased naval base in the Caribbean; we need that base. It is now used to house terrorists that we have captured in firefights, skirmishes, counter-insurgency actions, mainly in Iraq and Afghanistan. There are others there, captured by our allies that we have taken control of, and more of those overseas in friendly countries.

The main point is that these ARE prisoners of our Declared War on Terrorists, whose leaders are Al Qaida, whose proxies include the Taliban and 4 or five other similarly motivated groups.

We owe no apology to anyone for our treatment of these terrorists. The fact that they don’t wear uniforms makes them no less soldiers; makes the fights no less fatal to our soldiers; makes our absolute justification for responding to terrorist attacks no less important for the time and distance necessary to punish those people.

In fact, we should repatriate these prisoners to the countries from which they were taken; they should be imprisoned there under the Geneva Conventions. They should be released when the war is over, or when the host country  determines. We can help control unjustified releases with agreements with the hosts.

Oh, and I don’t care about those who bemoan that some other country’s sense of justice is less considerate than ours; these people are terrorist soldiers, they did try, and in many cases succeed in killing Americans, over three thousand just in Iraq, Three Thousand in September 11 attacks, Somalia, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia, and on and on.

Chrysler and General Motors Bailouts

Forcing an illegal,Constitutionally prohibited Bankruptcy Settlement on Chrysler and General Motors ,favoring Unions over Secured Creditors is just wrong. I hope the Pension Funds succeed in blocking the Bankruptcy package that allows the Fiat takeover. I hope Chrysler undertakes a different bankruptcy according to the law. I suspect the reason that they didn’t is because Chrysler would be liquidated, not reorganized. No other company wants the labor and other legacy issues associated with a second class auto manufacturer. (Whither the politics of hedge fund lobbying?)

In General Motor’s case, it’s a bigger version of the same thing, perhaps though General Motors and it’s surviving brands have a chance. But, there are enough venture capital funds to finance the deal in a normal bankruptcy, just not one that tries to save union jobs, union benefits, and other restructuring participants that shouldn’t be saved at the expense of pension funds and other bondholder investors who trusted the system to preserve their status. The unions and GM’s management are justly compared to the Wall Streeters who engineered bad financial products, sold them to their shareholders and outside investors, and now are looking around saying “Who? Me?” to explain or excuse their behavior.

America’s free market system can absorb the effects of even major bankruptcies; there’s plenty of capital available for the opportunities in restructuring.

Let’s give capitalism a chance, but not at taxpayer expense.

Posted by Mediaman at 21:02:32 | Permalink | Comments (1) »

Sunday, April 26, 2009

Non Profits Need New Mission

 Non Profits are looking up from the bottom of the same hole that federal, state and local governments are distressed with; how did we get here?

    Answer: Mission creep.
    I  see the same set of  circumstances today as have developed over the years, and ever more apparent today.
   Namely, non-profits, primarily charitable organizations, have allowed themselves to be convinced that their mission MUST expand because of the “need” and because Directors want larger organization to support more individual and staff pay.
   So where do they wind up?
   Not enough funds to cover expanded missions, but giving levels which would have been sufficient for their original mission.
   Why less funds? Partly because Directors are usually paid, and as NP’s get larger, some paid staff is added as well.
   More volunteers are needed, more space, more overhead and occupancy costs, and here’s the killer; each year the percentage of revenues devoted to salaries and overhead increase, absent a top line revenue growth occasioned by extraordinary fund-raising.
   So Directors expect more money (after all they are running a larger organization, and have more responsibility, right?), staff deserve raises, there ARE costs in acquiring, managing, and insuring volunteers, among other things.
   It all adds up to a self-serving expansion, and much whining, and gnashing of teeth when donations and fund-raising “dry up.”
   So if you want a suggestion for NP’s, here it is;
   Get Real! Reshape and rebuild your mission to one that normal levels of fund raising can support, even if that means forgoing expansion into another area, or adding new clients.
   It doesn’t help that NP’s are part of the fastest growing “industry” in the U.S., each justifying their creation and the “needs” that spur them, each in isolation to be commended for altruism.
   But, I wonder how they would manage their egos and motives if they had to devote their talents to supporting already existing NP’s with the same or very similar missions, locations, and importantly, fund-raising and donation sources.
   Think of how much more efficiently, and productively their “clients ” would benefit; how costs would go down, and revenues devoted to clients would go up.
   Anyone who thinks that NP’s don’t compete for Donors has their head in the sand. Anyone who thinks that NP directors don’t drive Boards to authorize ever-increasing efforts just hasn’t been there.
   It’s time to re-think fund raising and commit to an “endowment” goal in which a percentage of each years fund-raising is set aside, with the ten-year goal of generating enough inflation-adjusted income to support the basic mission, with a smaller percentage each year contributed to the trust, which would shortly allow for increasing support levels for Clients. And, the Board must absolutely be sufficiently independent to make sure that the endowment is used or diluted because of the “need.”
   Nobody will starve, counseling will occur, missions will be maintained.
   But, in the end, more will be done for more clients, and NP’s will have created an institution that doesn’t close shop because an economic downturn forces a re-examination of budgets and costs which have become onerous ,and/or a closure or reduction in services to those in “need.”
 
Posted by Mediaman at 18:12:11 | Permalink | No Comments »

Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Redesign Health Care system, get more and better care

 

   As long as we’re questioning the astounding growth in health care costs, let’s get a discussion of WHY out in front.

   More new drugs coming to market, all for symptom relief, virtually none for cures. Does that strike you oddly?

It does me.

  And considering that the side effects of many of these drugs are more threatening than the underlying disease, why do we -the FDA, Congress, us as Citizens, continue to allow conditions, programs and processes that are so obviously at the expense of the American public, the health care consumers like the retired and disabled?

   Everybody in the health “food chain” blames the other guy; remember the old criminal defense, “SODDIT” (Some Other Dude Did IT)?   When nobody takes responsibility, nothing gets done. The one “cure” that almost everybody with a vested interest seems to agree on is some version of Universal Health Care, with”Uncle” paying the bills.

That won’t work, just drives up costs. And we can’t keep saying the government (meaning taxpayers) just has to pay for it. It is only when we get individual responsibility for health care decisions and personal responsibility that we will get the system under control.

As long as somebody else pays, everybody wants a piece, and the bigger the better. Lots of people remember when “insurance” meant just that-you paid your premiums, the insurer paid the bills. What went wrong? Lots of people can add,  and the cost of a family of four health premium on average is up to $8000.00 a year, in some areas and groups, up to $12,000, even more.

   Who can pay these ridiculous premiums, and then have to pay deductibles and have caps on benefits even after all that? How much individual care would that $8,000 buy if consumers made the decisions? I’ll bet if we gave consumers the chance it would surprise us, as long as the delivery system were structured along modern designs.

   Yes, the “health denial” system needs reform; yes, there is a structure which would use free market economics to control cost, while INCREASING the quality of health care and delivery.

   And, how about still using mostly hundred-year-old infrastructure in the health care industry, when we have a new twenty-first century capability to deliver more, for less. (If the Internet and Computer industry changed at the same rate as the medical industry, we’d still be using Abacus, sheepskins  and quills)

   And, if the system were restructured, doctors might welcome Medicaid and Medicare (Universal care) patients, rather than finding ways to ”beat” the system to get paid. We can do better; we must, if the system is to survive for all of us.

 America spends more on health care than any other country, yet ranks 12th to 15th in Quality of Care and in overall ranking. How can that make sense?

   Throwing more taxpayer money at the problems is just not going to work without consumer-driven reforms.There is a solution that would work, if we can get past the “whose ox is being gored” phenomenon.

    Here it is.  

   First, nationalize the Health Insurance industry, or make them part of the restructuring process by integrating insurance with the health care delivery process through ownership of health care facilities.  Insurers  collect hundreds of Billions of dollars in premiums and huge profits for managing the claims process and making non-medical coverage decisions, some unfairly, some efficiently, if not considerately.  

   Second, change the delivery of health Care by instituting a national system of privately-owned walk-in clinics, utilizing accepted national standards of health care, and staffed mostly by fully trained and licensed Registered and Practical nurses, along with salaried medical professionals, including an Internists or GPs, a Pediatricians, and an OB/Gyns. These folks would be rewarded by typical private business incentives like profit sharing, bonuses and so on, based on typical health care measurement standards like outcomes, quantitative and qualitative standards of health status

   In areas where privately owned clinics do not choose to operate, and there should be few of these considering the profit potential, government-sponsored clinics with salaried professionals would practice. It is not hard to budget this approach since all the logistics are known(number of people to be served per clinic, square footage and equipment needed, minimum staffing requirements).   

   These are NOT hospitals, but clinics who can take advantage of the volume of “customers” to achieve economies of scale.  Since these clinics are the “first line” in health care, they would be the emergency centers as well, able to diagnose conditions, and forward patients to hospitals as necessary. This would be the Intake point-of-contact for indigents, immigrants and others, whose use of high-cost emergency care in place of doctors or other medical alternatives are a significant upward cost driver. This would also be a good place to initiate home country bill-back for care of illegals. No refusal of care, just a better method of delivering needed care, and a way to make someone responsible for the cost.

What happens to the existing Doctor/Specialty Practice/hospital integrated system?  It gets changed to accommodate the needs of twenty-first century health care business models. In the transition, the existing medical infrastructure must change to accommodate the new. There may be much crying, and gnashing to teeth, and huge lobbyist expenditures to preserve the status quo.

   The status quo doesn’t work.

   Full-service hospitals would handle true emergencies like heart attacks, accidents, major incidents that require trained staff professionals to handle, and surgeries, Intensive Care, and the other things that hospitals are  equipped to do.   

   Future hospital designs and remodeling of existing facilities could incorporate the walk-in model, could even take over the walk-in model if they were properly restructured. The idea here is to lower the cost of Intake and Management through lower-cost operations and overhead, while at the same time increasing efficiency to handle the required well-person maintenance.   

   Three. Alternatively, as noted above, existing hospitals could be formally restructured to become part of the Well Person management and Intake process. However, hospitals cannot be allowed to use their traditional, high-cost model of Operations and Administration to set rates; rates must be set on the Clinic Intake model, even if at a later stage, patients are admitted for tests, procedures and surgeries that would more likely have the higher costs associated with them.

   The concept and business model is to introduce the efficiencies of a large -scale care business model, and modern technologies that such a structure would virtually force into the marketplace, computer aided procedures, even including computer-aided diagnoses models. Modern medical technology applied at the Intake point of contact with the health care consumer would and should, revolutionize the industry, to the substantial betterment of the health care consumer. 

   (It should be noted here that one of the most talked about Cloud Computing applications includes medical devices for home use that monitor, measure and manage a consumer’s everyday health care, even providing Alerts when conditions exceed established standards. More on this another time).  

   If we consider that a “tiered” health care system offers real efficiency, while devoting the level and capability of resources when and as needed, we could provide more healthcare with less expense. At the very least, more people would get health advice and annual check-ups at overall costs that would allow more eligible people to be covered. Since the current system is forced to deal with the effects of demands of high-cost care from uninsured, and underinsured consumers, the opportunity for better care, more consistently, at lesser cost, is overwhelming.   

   The current system uses the highest cost care model, at all  levels of intake, which obviously makes little sense.   The current, practice-based medical business model, along with the unreasonable cost of using highest cost- determination model of care- the hospital complex-can be restructured to the “best practices” medical business model, delivering better care, to more people, at lower per-patient and overall annual and continuing costs. 

   Current health care practices, primarily the insurance costs, are in reality a “tax” on each of us, a huge tax and cost not justified by the social and economic needs for health care by American Citizens.  This restructuring of the system, at the outset, would incur some expense, primarily during the transition to tiered care, and the building of the infrastructure. But, rapidly, the cost per patient, and the continuing cost of care provision would decline as better health care outcomes, reduced undiagnosed disease and well-person maintenance programs become part of the mainstream.

   Some back of the envelope calculations indicate that consumers could pay out-of-pocket for all normal costs like Annual Health Checkups, Over-The-Counter medicines, and most prescription medicines, as well as pay a nominal amount for Catastrophic Care Coverage, and have several thousand dollars left over. Right now, healthy people pay for sick, insured pay for uninsured, and the system doesn’t work.

  If you believe that access to affordable health care is a Citizen’s right, then the system has to be restructured.

   This is one way.  
   As part  of the restructuring and provisioning of care, require/suggest that EVERY person in the U.S. who is a Citizen gets an annual physical through the clinics. This process would enable early intervention when intervention-type care could be most needed,  providing “well-person” health advice, looking at a person’s or child’s health and discerning conditions or changes that the person  might not have noticed, or whom would benefit from this type of health care advice. 
  

   This would be the perfect place for health care counseling regarding diet, family planning, and all the things that medical professionals agree would mitigate, even prevent, the rapidly growing numbers and kinds of conditions and diseases that early intervention would prevent, or lessen.

Posted by Mediaman at 18:02:11 | Permalink | No Comments »

Tuesday, October 21, 2008

UNFETTERED CAPITALISM LEADS TO ECONOMIC ANARCHY

 
UNFETTERED CAPITALISM LEADS TO ECONOMIC ANARCHY
 
   That’s a mouthful. Here’s what it means.
   When free-market capitalists seek the highest rate of return on their capital, they invent new investment products to enhance their ROI, and as it turns out, in either unregulated financial markets, hedge funds, or in financial institutions and products whose managers, and financial markets overseers, just didn’t “see” the risks developing. 
   As in the current mortgage derivatives markets, and recently commodities markets, this packaging of investment products requires the leverage of debt to enhance the ROI. In fact, leverage through debt is the ONLY way to maximize the spectacular rates of return desired by risk-oriented investors. For some, however, the concept of risk has been somehow transmuted from high risk to euphemisms like Collateralized Debt Obligations, Swaps, Derivatives, and others.
   As these products were developed, and downstreamed to second, third, even fourth-level removed investors, so was the risk. Banks and Mortgage lenders wanted to originate loans, package them in some way, make their fees and return to the dining table-mortgage markets-for another round of feasting. That’s one brand of Unfettered Capitalism
   But the process eventually had to allow the risk to present itself, which it did when the ARM’s reset; when the No-doc and Alt-A mortgages given to people who were not qualified, who could barely afford the initial 4 1/2 percent rate on over-priced housing, and who gave up the ghost when housing started to flatten, then decline under the wight of foreclosures, overpriced housing with no buyers, and more problems.
   Worse, many of these home buyers initially saw their housing value rise by double digits in the  2004-2005-2006 period and were encouraged to take out second mortgages, home-equity loans and lines of credit which they used for cars, vacations and more.
   Hence the current freeze in  housing liquidity, and general liquidity overall, because new loans can’t be originated, older loans can’t be resold or redeemed, are in default or foreclosure, and banks don’t trust each other to repay the loans normally used to finance their day-to-day business. The downstream investors can’t get their money either; the investment banks, the lenders can’t and won’t redeem these obligations, as they promised, their value is so suspect that hardly anyone is willing to buy such debt, or sell it and take the almost certain heavy loss that risk-based pricing would incur.
   Capitalist markets exploit the opportunities in the  system, and so in the interest of society in general, must be regulated to the degree necessary so as not to allow greed to hurt consumers and organizations which seek advantage beyond what they have at risk of their own money.
   What does this mean?
   When individuals and institutions generate risk beyond the invested capital of their owners and stockholders; when society inadvertently and unknowingly joins in the risk because the investors have used leverage to enhance the reward on their own capital, that creates an unacceptable risk for the everyday investor and consumer (read taxpayer). That’s the Economic Anarchy referred to above.
   Now, necessarily, comes Economic Socialism.
   I hesitate to use the word Socialism, but it aptly describes a process in which society’s interests and active participation in the capital markets process overrides the joy and society-building effects of investor-driven capitalism; the process of investing at risk to build value, create companies, industries and jobs that increase our standard of living, and improve society.
   Therein lies the conflict; the tug of war between dog-eat-dog, free market competitive systems, and the desire for a society which benefits the most people, offering opportunity and achievement.
   Therein also lies the opportunity for Millennium Capitalism; a New Order of free markets in which investing in human Capital offers rewards commensurate with the risk; where achievement-oriented infrastructure is created with an eye towards getting high rates of return on Human Capital. Who takes this risk, underwrites this approach? A democratically structured government, elected by it’s Citizens to marshall the resources necessary.
   Obviously, a new type of capitalism is needed; less a Keynesian type of laissez-faire economics in which the unseen hand of the free marketplace rewards risk-takers appropriately for good decisions, or not, for bad ones, more a minimum oversight and infrastructure process which necessitates the levels of capital needed to offer the public financial products and services, improve the standard of living for all.
   This is accomplished through regulation of the process in which capital is raised and deployed; how it is invested, and now, importantly, leveraged. New capital ratios for financial institutions must be employed, maybe even limiting the current types of “leveraged” investing at 20-1, even 30-1 employed in some packaged financial instruments, and commodities trading. Hedge funds, as well as others, must have certain levels of available capital to meet redemptions; can’t deploy more leveraged risk than the capital base will insure, and other regulatory measures that insure that risk is borne by the investors and institutions that engage in it.
   What does this mean?
   For instance, if commodities trading only permitted “cash” contracts, there would be no leveraged risk, either on the upside or downside. Investors who really believe oil, or gold, or copper or wheat is going to rise or fall could “bet” accordingly. Investor/users of commodities like manufacturers, food processors, refiners, wouldn’t have more capital at risk that the contracts they own; alternatively, since some amount of leverage would create greater liquidity, and greater risk, limiting the margin to 2-1, or even five to one, would mitigate the possibility of cascading failures dragging taxpayers into the risk matrix with the investors.
   The proof? In the modern era, equity risk capital has declined as a percentage of total invested capital, including debt. The leverage of debt, and risk, at all levels-government, state, local, corporate, investor, even pension funds-has steadily increased.
   We can see how the effect of allowing irresponsible investor-dominated markets, leveraged by unregulated debt, puts society at risk.
   We want and admire the free market system that has given so many entrepreneurs and investors the opportunity to create companies, and profit from them.
   A little more financial industry economic oversight, well-researched, and dedicated to preserving a capitalist society, may be a good, even  necessary thing.
   If it has the effect of limiting the “shoot the moon” rates of return that speculators and others gain through marketplace leverage and a “game the system” attitude, so be it.
   It’s a small price for continuing prosperity,  and a system which encourages investment.
   And, for those who are tempted to say that the notable and successive failures don’t argue in favor of Economic Socialism, remember we managed stupendous accomplishments as a country and as a society before the modern era of “leverage.”
   In so many ways the effect of socially responsible regulation that protects and encourages free-markets has been positive, while minimizing the damage to investors-and taxpayers- that greed can engender. 
Posted by Mediaman at 17:30:25 | Permalink | No Comments »